Why this growling bear-market predictor is more bark than bite — for now

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Don’t miss these top money and investing features:

That perfect predictor of recession and a bear market — the one investors truly fear? The one dangerously close to being triggered? Well, it’s wrong this time, contends a respected Wall Street veteran.

Investment strategist Ed Yardeni is convinced that the U.S. Treasury yield curve is not going to invert, even though it’s threatening to do so. Inversion is an opposite-world-like situation where short-term Treasurys yield more than their long-term counterparts. What’s the problem? This abnormality has occurred before each of the past seven U.S. recessions — and each time triggered a bear market for stocks.

Read about Yardeni’s six reasons not to fear the flattening yield curve — this time, at least. Then, learn why another reliable market indicator suggests stocks still have some kick. Plus, find out why investors should make a point to reward companies that take smart risks and fund innovation, and test your willingness to bet on bitcoin’s value in five years

— Jonathan Burton

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